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Yep, the paradox simply occurred. N.J. would now qualify for N.J.’s coronavirus quarantine journey advisory.

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With Wednesday’s replace of 953 new optimistic exams throughout the state, New Jersey paradoxically would qualify for its personal coronavirus journey advisory — that’s, if the checklist was calculated in the present day.

New Jersey, New York, and Connecticut have been issuing the joint advisory each Tuesday since late June, calling on vacationers from states that qualify to voluntarily self-quarantine for 14 days after arriving. The checklist is designed to guard the tri-state area from COVID-19 hotspots areas throughout the nation.

Any state or territory with greater than 10 instances per 100,000 residents or these with a 10% or larger take a look at positivity fee over a seven-day rolling common qualifies for the checklist.

New Jersey hasn’t formally been added to the checklist, not less than not but. We’ll have to attend till a brand new one comes out subsequent Tuesday to see if the state nonetheless qualifies. And the numbers could drop sufficient within the subsequent few days to maintain it from becoming a member of.

However New Jersey did simply attain the primary threshold, primarily based on provisional new case totals supplied each day by the state.

After asserting 953 extra optimistic exams Wednesday, the Backyard State noticed its seven-day common hit 894, simply above 10 instances per 100,000 residents primarily based on New Jersey’s inhabitants of 8.Eight million.

That rolling common can be 32% larger than it was per week earlier.

One caveat: This doesn’t account for instances the state deleted over the last week. The state doesn’t announce that each day and notes on its COVID-19 dashboard that new instances are “provisional and topic to revision with additional investigation.”

Although the state’s coronavirus numbers are nonetheless far under the state’s spring peak, Gov. Phil Murphy and different state officers have been warning about rising instances in New Jersey. State Well being Commissioner Judith Persichilli mentioned final week officers are “anticipating a second wave” and mentioned it might “change into a surge” if residents don’t maintain carrying masks, social distancing, and washing palms.

CORONAVIRUS RESOURCES: Dwell map tracker | Companies which are open | Homepage

So what does qualifying for the checklist imply for New Jersey? It’s unclear.

For starters, the coronavirus journey advisory checklist received’t be up to date once more till subsequent Tuesday. New York well being officers calculate which states and territories meet the factors.

The checklist was up to date lower than 24 hours in the past to incorporate 38 U.S. states and territories — the biggest it’s ever been. As of then, New Jersey’s rolling seven-day common was under the edge at 831 instances.

The state’s rolling common would wish keep above 888 instances till Monday for it to be added to the following weekly checklist. That might be a problem with out main each day will increase, particularly as a result of final Thursday’s one-day whole of 1,301 instances wouldn’t be included anymore.

Nonetheless, Wednesday marked the primary time since late Might — earlier than the journey advisories began — that New Jersey had back-to-back days of greater than 900 instances.

Already, three New Jersey counties have had an infection charges that might have triggered a quarantine if the state utilized the usual on a county stage.

If localized outbreaks proceed to escalate, that might imply individuals touring from New Jersey and New Jerseyans who journey to New York or Connecticut could also be requested to self-quarantine for 14 days. Folks touring for enterprise are exempt from the advisory.

Or perhaps the checklist turns into out of date? Each Connecticut and New York have additionally seen instances rising, as have many states throughout the nation.

What about shutting down New Jersey once more? Murphy mentioned final week he doesn’t count on to must concern one other widespread state lockdown once more, the way in which he did in March. As a substitute, he mentioned, officers usually tend to institute extra localized restrictions.

Requested final week about what occurs if New Jersey qualifies for the advisory, Murphy mentioned state officers are “doing all the pieces we will to maintain it under the road.”

Michael Zhadanovsky, a spokesman for Murphy’s workplace, mentioned Wednesday that “whereas the virus clearly stays a risk statewide, the Administration is carefully monitoring key counties and localities presently experiencing elevated case numbers.”

“Because the Governor indicated final Monday, new statewide restrictions will not be anticipated at the moment; nonetheless, all choices stay on the desk for extra focused restrictions on the native stage,” Zhadanovsky added.

NJ Advance Media employees author Arjun Kakkar contributed to this report.

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Brent Johnson could also be reached at bjohnson@njadvancemedia.com.